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Here’s the ‘wild card’ for a Fed hike this year

Kudos to the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model forecast, which nailed that ugly GDP number while plenty on Wall Street didn’t.

“Wall Street doesn’t control it or pay for it and can’t fire it if it says the wrong thing. It can destroy myths without having to worry about flipping hamburgers for the rest of its life,” writes Wolf Richter in his Wolf Street blog that deftly explains how that model works.

A one-two punch from growth-data aftershocks plus a view from Bill Gross and others that a June interest-rate hike is out to pasture continue to maul the dollar this morning.

William Adams, head of research at FastMarkets, says the dollar is on its way to a long-overdue correction. With a rate hike now pushed back to September or later, he says the market will finally “realize the dollar has run ahead of the fundamentals.” More

U.S. stocks turn lower after jobless claims, earnings
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks edged lower on Thursday as investors assessed weekly jobless claims and mixed earnings reports from Alcoa, Bed Bath & Beyond and other companies.

The number of Americans filing for initial unemployment benefits rose by less than expected, while the rate of layoffs remained historically low. Meanwhile, wholesale inventories edged up, as sales fell, in a sign that demand over the winter slowed down.

Market participants were gearing up for more earnings reports, after aluminum giant Alcoa unofficially kicked off the first-quarter U.S. earnings season on a downbeat note. More

Investors boo Alcoa, but most analysts remain cheerful
NEW YORK (MarketWatch)—Investors may be expressing their disappointment in Alcoa Inc.’s results, but Wall Street analysts remain mostly upbeat, saying the aluminum giant’s focus on cost-cutting and profits bodes well for shareholders over the longer term.

The stock AA, slumped 4.8% in morning trade 04/09/2015, after Alcoa kicked off the earnings-reporting season by revealing late Wednesday a first-quarter profit that beat expectations, but sales that missed. That put the stock on track to suffer its worst one-day, post-earnings performance since it dropped 5.4% on Jan. 13, 2014, after Alcoa missed fourth-quarter 2013 earnings estimates. More

How to save $1 million in your 401(k)
Got $1 million in your 401(k)? Some savers might be surprised how feasible that savings goal is if they put their mind — and their money — to it. Of course, if you don’t have $1 million saved, you’re definitely not alone. Just 0.42% of all 401(k) participants in the Employee Benefit Research Institute’s database had $1 million or more in their account at the end of 2013. EBRI’s data covers 26.4 million savers.

Similarly, just a tad more than 72,000 retirement savers, or 0.56% of the 13 million plan participants in its database, had $1 million or more in their 401(k) account at the end of 2014, according to Fidelity Investments’ analysis of the plans it manages. More

100-billion-barrel oil discovery sends shares of U.K. firm soaring 200%
A bunch of investors in U.K. Oil & Gas Investments PLC UKOG, +169.23% literally hit paydirt on 04/09/2015.

Shares of the exploration-focused company rocketed 200% at one point in London, and closed up 169%, after UKOG said a discovery in the south of England looks likely to deliver North Sea-beating amounts of oil.

“We think we’ve found a very significant discovery here, probably the largest [onshore in the UK] in the last 30 years, and we think it has national significance,” Stephen Sanderson, UKOG’s chief executive, told the BBC. More

VIDEO: Steve Doocy of Fox and Friends: Tales from the Dad Side
Misadventures in Fatherhood. Steve Doocy of Fox and Friends visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation. SEE IT NOW>>

BAHAHAHA Moment of the Week - Thank you very much!
Historic poll: Obama is nearly twice as popular in Cuba as he is in the U.S.
Barack Obama is a pretty popular guy in Cuba these days. So much so that nearly nine out of 10 Cubans hope he’ll be the first U.S. president to visit their island since Calvin Coolidge did in 1928.

A new Bendixen & Amandi Poll for Univision Noticias – Fusion in collaboration with The Washington Post shows that 89 percent of Cubans think the U.S. leader should swing by for a visit now that the two countries are trying to make nice. Obama also enjoys an 80 percent favorability rating on the communist-led island. The poll suggests that Obama is nearly twice as popular in Cuba as he is in the United States. Back home, where the U.S. president’s favorability rating is around 47 percent — the same as President Castro’s in Cuba. More

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Peter Schiff - Crash Proof: How to Profit From the Coming Economic Collapse
The economic tipping point for the United States is no longer theoretical. It is a reality today. The country has gone from the world's largest creditor to its greatest debtor; the value of the dollar is sinking; domestic manufacturing is winding down - and these trends don't seem to be slowing. Peter Schiff visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm).
Broadcast Interview

Ken L. Fisher:Self-made Billionaire, Bestselling Author
The only way to make money in the market is by knowing what others don’t. But how can you know that? Ken Fisher’s New York Times best seller, The Only Three Questions that Count, shows you exactly how visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm)
Broadcast Interview (otc: SEEK) is a diversified Local Internet advertising company that owns and operates a network of locally targeted category specific search destinations anchored by its Local business search engine
Broadcast Interview

Steve Doocy: Tales from the Dad Side
Misadventures in Fatherhood. Steve Doocy of Fox and Friends visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation.
Broadcast Interview

The Day After the Dollar Crashes: A Survival Guide for the Rise of the New World Order
Damon Vickers outlines with Kurt Schemers the kinds of events that could trigger a global economic collapse, describing in detail the events that are likely to occur just prior to, during, and immediately following such a total collapse.
Broadcast Interview

Steve Forbes - Flat Tax Revolution: Using a Postcard to Abolish the IRS
The president of Forbes, Inc. presents his argument with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm) for a flat tax, suggesting that the new tax would be fair and efficient.
Broadcast Interview

Pow! Right Between the Eyes: Profiting from the Power of Surprise
Business, both big and small, is in desperate need of new ways to inspire bored and cynical consumers who have grown weary of the same old song and dance. In today’s information economy, it doesn’t matter how many people you reach, but how much attention they pay.

And the best way to get attention is with the powerful, but largely misunderstood, element of surprise. Andy Nulman visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm).
Broadcast Interview

Country Music Legend, Willie Nelson
Willie Nelson Biodiesel, is a wholly owned subsidiary of Earth Biofuels, Inc. Earth Biofuels. Willie Nelson visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm).
Broadcast Interview

Larry Winget: No Time for Tact: 365 Days of the Wit, Words, and Wisdom of Larry Winget
In these uncertain times, why mince words? America needs a straight- talk dose of Winget reality more than ever. Winget visits with Kurt Schemers on Traders Nation(tm).
Broadcast Interview